Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 1.739686 2.004639 2.296059 2.640342 3.035985 3.476463 4.004181
2025-05-11 1.377444 1.726186 2.142388 2.675638 3.340884 4.143781 5.187181
2025-05-18 1.084761 1.461303 1.943383 2.605706 3.492418 4.639439 6.237897
2025-05-25 0.855678 1.228561 1.736431 2.478464 3.535603 4.989072 7.142976
2025-06-01 0.722043 1.097501 1.637958 2.472246 3.728668 5.552754 8.408305
2025-06-08 0.607863 0.972964 1.525526 2.422097 3.841946 6.007379 9.569880
2025-06-15 0.559044 0.938071 1.538556 2.558237 4.248831 6.945586 11.587651
2025-06-22 0.502503 0.880883 1.506273 2.613939 4.530032 7.716086 13.434923
2025-06-29 0.442642 0.808318 1.437099 2.595480 4.680316 8.283936 15.010091
2025-07-06 0.376676 0.714884 1.318528 2.472636 4.628806 8.494250 15.979595
2025-07-13 0.352444 0.693557 1.324084 2.572336 4.987581 9.468300 18.450005
2025-07-20 0.334614 0.681502 1.344368 2.700767 5.414003 10.613658 21.383497
2025-07-27 0.309312 0.652542 1.331115 2.767469 5.740082 11.629157 24.242516
2025-08-03 0.282690 0.617143 1.300581 2.795621 5.993647 12.536878 27.014659
2025-08-10 0.249377 0.562805 1.224154 2.717805 6.016934 12.981346 28.884774
2025-08-17 0.215760 0.502807 1.127529 2.582604 5.897465 13.109209 30.085973
2025-08-24 0.196556 0.472403 1.090883 2.574739 6.057148 13.856014 32.759308
2025-08-31 0.176381 0.436801 1.037799 2.521767 6.106312 14.362526 34.949572
2025-09-07 0.171265 0.436495 1.065781 2.663041 6.629393 16.014225 40.059850
2025-09-14 0.161223 0.422581 1.059656 2.720765 6.958345 17.251394 44.331504
2025-09-21 0.147775 0.398084 1.024535 2.701418 7.093289 18.037718 47.585223
2025-09-28 0.130158 0.360175 0.950925 2.573509 6.934224 18.077100 48.931954
2025-10-05 0.125580 0.356589 0.964808 2.677216 7.394717 19.743019 54.776884